Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Basel had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.