UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 4, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Brøndby Stadion

Brondby
1 - 0
Basel

(2-2 on aggregate)

Divkovic (74')
Radosevic (52'), Bell (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ltaief (89'), Burger (90')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Brondby and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

Last Six:

Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Basel
Thursday, July 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Lugano	3	1	3
7	Basel	2	0	2
8	Luzern	1	0	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brondby win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Basel had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brondby win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Basel win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brondby in this match.

Result
Brondby	Draw	Basel
39.29% ( 0.1)	28.57% ( -0.02)	32.14% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 45.65% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.32% (

0.05)

60.67% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.25% (

0.04)

80.75% (

-0.04)

Brondby Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

0.08)

30.06% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8% (

0.1)

66.2% (

-0.1)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.28% (

-0.03)

34.72% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.55% (

-0.03)

71.45% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Brondby 39.29%

Basel 32.13%

Draw 28.56%

Brondby	Draw	Basel
1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 39.29%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.56%	0-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 32.13%