UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 11, 2022 at 6.15pm UK

St. Jakob-Park

Basel
2 - 1
Brondby

(2-2 on aggregate)

Frei (40' pen.), Zeqiri (45+5')
Adams (21'), Hitz (45+2'), Burger (63'), Pelmard (81'), Zeqiri (107')

FT
(aet)

Kvistgaarden (45+1')
Cappis (12'), Kvistgaarden (21'), Rosted (64'), Salech (88'), Greve (113'), Bell (119')

Basel win 3-1 on penalties

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Basel and Brondby.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

Last Six:

Last Game: Basel 0-0 Young Boys
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lugano	4	0	3
8	Basel	3	0	3
9	FC Winterthur	4	-6	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Brondby had a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Brondby win it was 0-1 (8.93%).

Result
Basel	Draw	Brondby
48.17% ( 0.03)	27.02% ( -0.01)	24.81% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.86% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.58% (

0.05)

58.42% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.98% (

0.04)

79.02% (

-0.03)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.67% (

0.03)

24.33% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.28% (

0.05)

58.73% (

-0.05)

Brondby Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.6% (

0.02)

39.4% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.9% (

0.02)

76.1% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Basel 48.16%

Brondby 24.81%

Draw 27.02%

Basel	Draw	Brondby
1-0 @ 13.54% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.16%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 24.81%