Lugano

1 - 1

Basel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.