Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 6
Aug 28, 2022 at 1.15pm UK
Cornaredo Stadium
St Gallen

Lugano
2 - 3
St Gallen

Celar (6' pen.), Babic (65')
Mahmoud (33'), Ziegler (57')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Guillemenot (29'), Witzig (45+2'), Gortler (59' pen.)
Sutter (5'), Guindo (79'), Vallci (90+3')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and St Gallen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

Last Six:
Last Game: Basel 0-2 Lugano
Sunday, August 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

St Gallen

Last Six:
Last Game: St Gallen 4-1 Luzern
Saturday, August 13 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawSt Gallen
33.82% (0.191 0.19)23.41% (-0.352 -0.35)42.77% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 63.03% (1.37 1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.43% (1.766 1.77)38.56% (-1.766 -1.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.14% (1.843 1.84)60.86% (-1.843 -1.84)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (0.93599999999999 0.94)22.73% (-0.936 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.6% (1.369 1.37)56.4% (-1.368 -1.37)
St Gallen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (0.795 0.8)18.43% (-0.795 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.39% (1.324 1.32)49.61% (-1.325 -1.33)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 33.82%
    St Gallen 42.78%
    Draw 23.4%
LuganoDrawSt Gallen
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.21% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.161 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 33.82%
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-2 @ 6.57% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.417 -0.42)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-3 @ 5% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.71% (0.176 0.18)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.095 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.57% (0.111 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 42.78%

How you voted: Lugano vs St Gallen

Lugano
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
St Gallen
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 1.15pm
St Gallen
3-0
Lugano
Gortler (19' pen.), Vonmoos (32'), Schubert (34')
Guillemenot (14'), Fazliji (26')

Yuri (61'), Custodio (84')
Feb 19, 2022 5pm
Lugano
0-2
St Gallen

Custodio (38'), Lavanchy (40'), Ziegler (44'), Bottani (83'), Saipi (90+3')
Duah (5'), Gortler (90+5' pen.)
Besio (67')
Quintilla (58')
Dec 11, 2021 7.30pm
St Gallen
1-1
Lugano
Sutter (69')
Gortler (50'), Munst (62')
Lovric (45')
Daprela (55'), Custodio (90+3')
Aug 8, 2021 1.15pm
Lugano
2-1
St Gallen
Lavanchy (16'), Ziegler (32')
Ziegler (53'), Sabbatini (62'), Yuri (78'), Custodio (83')
Ruiz (53' pen.)
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Lugano
2-0
St Gallen
Lavanchy (2'), Ardaiz (72')
Maric (22'), Sabbatini (52'), Bottani (71'), Ardaiz (72'), Lavanchy (76')

Gortler (17'), Luchinger (53')