Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.