Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.