Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Basel had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Basel win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.