Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 35.22%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 1-0 (12.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.