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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
Basel

Zalgiris
0 - 1
Basel

FT(HT: 0-0)
Zeqiri (62')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between FK Zalgiris and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

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Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 0-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Basel

Last Six:
Last Game: Basel 5-1 Grasshopper
Sunday, September 11 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Basel had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Basel win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawBasel
42.44% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)25.68% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)31.87% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)49.63% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)71.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)23.24% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)57.15% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.23% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.19% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 42.44%
    Basel 31.88%
    Draw 25.68%
FK ZalgirisDrawBasel
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.88%

How you voted: Zalgiris vs Basel

FK Zalgiris
17.6%
Draw
23.5%
Basel
58.8%
17