Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 50.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a CSKA Sofia win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Basel in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Basel.