UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 18, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stadion Vasil Levski

CSKA Sofia
1 - 0
Basel

(Basel win 2-1 on aggregate)

Lopez (70' og.)
Turitsov (73'), Vion (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Adams (23'), Amdouni (30'), Diouf (81'), Lopez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between CSKA Sofia and Basel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Sofia

Last Game: St Patrick's 0-2 CSKA Sofia
Thursday, August 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Basel

Last Six:

Last Game: Basel 0-2 Lugano
Sunday, August 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Luzern	4	-2	5
8	Basel	4	-2	3
9	FC Winterthur	5	-6	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
CSKA Sofia	Draw	Basel
36.49% ( 0.09)	25.75% ( 0.05)	37.77% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 55.11% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94% (

-0.22)

49.06% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87% (

-0.2)

71.13% (

0.2)

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88% (

-0.05)

26.12% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.81% (

-0.07)

61.19% (

0.07)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-0.18)

25.41% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-0.25)

60.22% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

CSKA Sofia 36.49%

Basel 37.77%

Draw 25.74%

CSKA Sofia	Draw	Basel
1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 36.49%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.77%