UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 18, 2022 at 7pm UK

Stadion Bijeli Brijeg

Zrinjski Mostar
1 - 0
Slovan Bratislava

(2-2 on aggregate)

Bilbija (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barseghyan (51'), Agbo (53'), Krizan (85'), Zmrhal (90+2')
Barseghyan (69')

Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Slovan Bratislava.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zrinjski Mostar

Last Game: Tobol 1-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 11 at 3pm in Europa Conference League

Slovan Bratislava

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-2 Olympiacos (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zrinjski Mostar in this match.

Result
Zrinjski Mostar	Draw	Slovan Bratislava
48.33% ( -0.16)	25.17% ( 0.02)	26.5% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 52.66% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.72% (

0.02)

50.27% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.77% (

0.02)

72.22% (

-0.02)

Zrinjski Mostar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.17% (

-0.06)

20.82% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.5% (

-0.09)

53.5% (

0.09)

Slovan Bratislava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

0.12)

33.49% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.87% (

0.14)

70.13% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Zrinjski Mostar 48.32%

Slovan Bratislava 26.5%

Draw 25.17%

Zrinjski Mostar	Draw	Slovan Bratislava
1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 48.32%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 26.5%