UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 28, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadion Bijeli Brijeg

Zrinjski Mostar
3 - 2
KF Tirana

Jankovic (25'), Ticinovic (36'), Cuze (80')
Jukic (55'), Sucic (82'), Malekinusic (85'), Barisic (86'), Mandic (87'), Ilinkovic (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ismajlgeci (51'), Xhixha (83')
Ismajlgeci (56'), Xhixha (90+1')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Zrinjski Mostar and KF Tirana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zrinjski Mostar

Last Game: KF Tirana 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

KF Tirana

Last Game: KF Tirana 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for KF Tirana had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest KF Tirana win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zrinjski Mostar would win this match.

Result
Zrinjski Mostar	Draw	KF Tirana
40.06% ( -0.02)	25.33% ( -0)	34.6% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.29% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.57% (

0.01)

47.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.35% (

0.01)

69.65% (

-0.01)

Zrinjski Mostar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54% (

-0.01)

23.46% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.53% (

-0.01)

57.47% (

0.01)

KF Tirana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54% (

0.01)

26.46% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.37% (

0.02)

61.63% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Zrinjski Mostar 40.06%

KF Tirana 34.6%

Draw 25.33%

Zrinjski Mostar	Draw	KF Tirana
1-0 @ 9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.06%	1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 8.25% 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.6%