Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.