UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 11, 2022 at 3pm UK

Ortalıq Stadion

Tobol
1 - 1
Zrinjski Mostar

(Zrinjski Mostar win 2-1 on aggregate)

Deble (53')
Tosic (6'), Marochkin (37'), Deble (49'), Maliy (58'), Jovancic (90'), Zhaksylykov (90'), Kairov (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cuze (34')
Savic (36'), Jukic (50'), Cuze (57'), Malekinusic (66'), Sucic (90+2'), Condric (90+6')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Tobol and Zrinjski Mostar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tobol

Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 Tobol
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Zrinjski Mostar

Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 Tobol
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Tobol	Draw	Zrinjski Mostar
45.06% ( 0.57)	24.58%	30.35% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 57.27% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.54% (

-0.28)

45.46% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.21% (

-0.27)

67.79% (

0.27)

Tobol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73% (

0.13)

20.27% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.37% (

0.21)

52.63% (

-0.21)

Zrinjski Mostar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

-0.52)

28.17% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14% (

-0.66)

63.86% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Tobol 45.06%

Zrinjski Mostar 30.35%

Draw 24.58%

Tobol	Draw	Zrinjski Mostar
2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.06%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.58%	1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.35%