UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 21, 2022 at 3pm UK

Ortalıq Stadion

Tobol
2 - 0
Lincoln

(Tobol win 3-0 on aggregate)

Zhaksylykov (65'), Tomasevic (90+1')
Zharynbetov (35'), Kairov (43'), Tomasevic (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toscano (54'), Ronan (62')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Tobol and Lincoln Red Imps.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tobol

Last Game: Ferencvaros 5-1 Tobol
Wednesday, July 13 at 7pm in Champions League

Lincoln Red Imps

Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Shkupi
Tuesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tobol would win this match.

Result
Tobol	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
53.88%	24.96%	21.16%

Both teams to score 47.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.9%

54.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.48%

75.52%

Tobol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.95%

20.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.73%

52.27%

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.51%

40.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.9%

77.1%

Score Analysis

Tobol 53.88%

Lincoln Red Imps 21.16%

Draw 24.95%

Tobol	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
1-0 @ 13.04% 2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.68% Total : 53.88%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 7.34% 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.29% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.16%