Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 54.93%. A win for Sion had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Sion win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.