Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sion win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.