Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Servette had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.