Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 51.89%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.