Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Basel had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
St Gallen	Draw	Basel
39.78% ( 0.05)	24.88% ( 0.06)	35.35% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 58.04% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.77% (

-0.27)

45.23% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.42% (

-0.26)

67.57% (

0.26)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36% (

-0.09)

22.63% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.74% (

-0.13)

56.26% (

0.14)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01% (

-0.19)

24.98% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.36% (

-0.26)

59.63% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

St Gallen 39.78%

Basel 35.35%

Draw 24.88%

St Gallen	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.78%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88%	1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.35%