Lugano

2 - 2

Basel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.