/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fluglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fbaslog.png)
-
Zan Celar
33'
-
Ignacio Aliseda
38'
-
Darian Males
74'
-
Michael Lang
83'
Lugano vs Basel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result
Lugano
35.61%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
24.9%
▼
(-0.09)
Basel
39.48%
▲
(+0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
57.98%
▲
(+0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.68%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 2.5
45.32%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 3.5
32.34%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 3.5
67.66%
▼
(-0.36)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5
75.12%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
24.87%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
40.51%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
59.48%
▼
(-0.18)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5
77.18%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 0.5
22.82%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 1.5
43.46%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 1.5
56.53%
▼
(-0.37)
Score analysis
Lugano
35.61%
Draw
24.89%
Basel
39.48%
Lugano
2-1
@
8.12%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 35.61%
1-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 35.61%
Draw
1-1
@
11.66%
▼
(-0.07)
2-2 @ 6% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
2-2 @ 6% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
Basel
1-2
@
8.62%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.48%
0-1 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.48%
