Swiss Super League | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Schutzenwiese
Winterthur1 - 0Lugano
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and Lugano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Young Boys 5-1 Winterthur
Sunday, January 29 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, January 29 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Lugano 1-1 Grasshopper
Saturday, January 28 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Saturday, January 28 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Winterthur would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Winterthur | Draw | Lugano |
41.1% ( -0.22) | 23.82% ( 0.02) | 35.08% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 61.83% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.72% ( -0.07) | 40.28% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.35% ( -0.07) | 62.65% ( 0.07) |
FC Winterthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( -0.13) | 19.88% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.01% ( -0.21) | 51.99% ( 0.2) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.16% ( 0.07) | 22.83% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.44% ( 0.11) | 56.56% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
FC Winterthur 41.1%
Lugano 35.08%
Draw 23.81%
FC Winterthur | Draw | Lugano |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 35.08% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-11 09:09:58
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | LuganoLugano | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
2 | Basel | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 30 |
3 | Servette | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
4 | Lausanne SportLausanne | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
5 | FC Zurich | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Luzern | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 26 |
7 | Sion | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
8 | St GallenSt Gallen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Young Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 20 |
10 | Yverdon Sport | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
11 | FC WinterthurWinterthur | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 13 |
12 | Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 12 |
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