Swiss Super League | Gameweek 16

Nov 13, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Cornaredo Stadium

Lugano
3 - 1
Winterthur

Celar (7', 15'), El Amine Amoura (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Di Giusto (20')

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and FC Winterthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: Lugano 2-0 FC Zurich
Sunday, November 6 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Winterthur

All competitions

Last Game: Luzern 1-1 Winterthur
Saturday, November 5 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
Lugano	Draw	FC Winterthur
46.75% ( 0.47)	24.92% ( 0.01)	28.33% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

-0.34)

48.03% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.8% (

-0.31)

70.2% (

0.31)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41% (

0.07)

20.59% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.87% (

0.1)

53.13% (

-0.11)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09% (

-0.53)

30.9% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8% (

-0.62)

67.19% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Lugano 46.74%

FC Winterthur 28.33%

Draw 24.91%

Lugano	Draw	FC Winterthur
1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.74%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.33%