Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 74.45%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 9.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.