Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Luzern win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.