Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 20
Feb 12, 2023 at 1.15pm UK
Cornaredo Stadium
Luzern

Lugano
1 - 1
Luzern

Celar (37' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abubakar (16')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Last Game: Winterthur 1-0 Lugano
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Luzern

All competitions
Last Game: Luzern 1-1 Young Boys
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
LuganoDrawLuzern
42.71% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)24.59% (0.0020000000000024 0)32.69% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 58.33% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (0.022999999999996 0.02)44.54% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)66.91% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)20.94% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)53.68% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.075999999999993 0.08)26.22% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68% (0.104 0.1)61.32% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 42.71%
    Luzern 32.69%
    Draw 24.59%
LuganoDrawLuzern
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.71%
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 32.69%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 7.30pm
Luzern
3-1
Lugano
Meyer (66' pen., 82'), Drager (69')
Burch (48')
Bislimi (61')
Aug 7, 2022 3.30pm
Lugano
1-2
Luzern
Ziegler (75')
Celar (45+1')
Dorn (32'), Beloko (84')
Muller (45+1'), Emini (47'), Simani (74'), Frydek Jr (90+6')
Apr 3, 2022 1.15pm
Luzern
2-2
Lugano
Ugrinic (59'), Kvasina (86')
Simani (50'), Frydek Jr (53'), Wehrmann (83'), Tasar (90')
Celar (38', 56')
Celar (50'), Saipi (85'), Lavanchy (90+4')
Feb 6, 2022 3.30pm
Lugano
2-1
Luzern
Lavanchy (20'), Haile-Selassie (83')
Sabbatini (89')
Drager (45+1')
Cumic (14'), Drager (46')
Nov 21, 2021 3.30pm
Lugano
3-1
Luzern
Ziegler (4'), El Amine Amoura (35'), Maric (45+2' pen.)
Sabbatini (67')
Sorgic (10')
Muller (4'), N'Diaye (57'), Schulz (75')
rhs 2.0


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