Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Basel had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Basel win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Trabzonspor in this match.