Luzern
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Swissporarena
Basel

Luzern
0 - 1
Basel

FT(HT: 0-1)
Frei (29' pen.)
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions
Last Game: Luzern 1-0 Grasshopper
Sunday, February 26 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Basel

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-2 Basel
Sunday, February 26 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
LuzernDrawBasel
37.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.6% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.86% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)41.65% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)64.05% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)55.8% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21.64% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)54.76% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luzern 37.23%
    Basel 38.6%
    Draw 24.15%
LuzernDrawBasel
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.6%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 7.30pm
Basel
2-3
Luzern
Amdouni (17'), Zeqiri (78')
Pelmard (83')
Schurpf (60'), Jasari (74'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (89')
Diambou (42'), Dorn (65'), Chader (71'), Simani (83')
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
Luzern
0-2
Basel

Simani (3')
Males (6' pen.), Fink (87')
Apr 24, 2022 3.30pm
Basel
3-0
Luzern
Stocker (3', 73'), Chalov (87')
Stocker (4'), Tavares (18')

Grether (51'), Sorgic (67')
Jan 30, 2022 3.30pm
Luzern
0-3
Basel

Cumic (21'), Muller (60'), Schulz (75'), Jasari (78')
Schulz (78')
Frei (49' pen., 90+7'), Males (85')
Palacios (31'), Katterbach (52'), Pelmard (66'), Burger (76'), Frei (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 3.30pm
Luzern
1-3
Basel
Cumic (90+1')
Domgjoni (47'), Schurpf (78')
Arthur (3'), Petretta (49'), Palacios (58')
Quintilla (34'), Pelmard (36'), Lopez (54')