Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.