Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Servette had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.