/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnanlog.png)
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Jeremy Le Douaron
18'
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Mathias Pereira Lage
35'
Brest vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F08%2Fnantes.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result
Brest
38.98%
▲
(+0.51)
Draw
26.74%
▲
(+0.65)
Nantes
34.28%
▼
(-1.15)
Both Teams to Score:
51.57%
▼
(-2.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.54%
▼
(-2.81)
Under 2.5
53.46%
▲
(+2.81)
Over 3.5
25.01%
▼
(-2.43)
Under 3.5
74.98%
▲
(+2.43)
Over 4.5
11.36%
▼
(-1.58)
Under 4.5
88.63%
▲
(+1.58)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
73.22%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 0.5
26.77%
▲
(+1.03)
Over 1.5
37.94%
▼
(-1.37)
Under 1.5
62.05%
▲
(+1.37)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5
70.42%
▼
(-2.08)
Under 0.5
29.57%
▲
(+2.08)
Over 1.5
34.4%
▼
(-2.60)
Under 1.5
65.6%
▲
(+2.60)
Score analysis
Brest
38.98%
Draw
26.74%
Nantes
34.28%
Brest
1-0
@
10.43%
▲
(+0.83)
2-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.36)
3-1 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.22)
4-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 38.98%
2-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.36)
3-1 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.22)
4-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 38.98%
Draw
1-1
@
12.71%
▲
(+0.32)
0-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.84)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.33)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.74%
0-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.84)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.33)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.74%
Nantes
0-1
@
9.65%
▲
(+0.51)
1-2 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.30)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 34.28%
1-2 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.30)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 34.28%
