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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
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Lyon
Marseille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Nantes
Brest
2 - 0
Nantes
FT(HT: 2-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Brest
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-5 Toulouse
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in Coupe de France

We said: Brest 2-1 Nantes

With Brest enjoying over a week's worth of rest, proving themselves to be a tough nut to crack and consistently finding the back of the net on home soil, Roy's side can end their hoodoo against a shell-shocked Nantes team. A raft of changes from Kombouare should at least make Wednesday's fixture more competitive than their cup thumping, but the stage is surely set for Brest to rise above the dotted line, plunging Nantes into the relegation zone in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawNantes
38.98% (0.505 0.51) 26.74% (0.641 0.64) 34.28% (-1.144 -1.14)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-2.26 -2.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54% (-2.806 -2.81)53.46% (2.807 2.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01% (-2.424 -2.42)74.98% (2.426 2.43)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (-1.024 -1.02)26.77% (1.025 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (-1.369 -1.37)62.05% (1.37 1.37)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-2.071 -2.07)29.57% (2.073 2.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (-2.597 -2.6)65.6% (2.598 2.6)
Score Analysis
    Brest 38.98%
    Nantes 34.28%
    Draw 26.74%
BrestDrawNantes
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.823 0.82)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.356 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.215 -0.22)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 38.98%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.836 0.84)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.329 -0.33)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.505 0.51)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.28%

How you voted: Brest vs Nantes

Brest
62.0%
Draw
30.0%
Nantes
8.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
gameweek 11
Nantes
4-1
Brest
Simon (35' pen.), Ganago (36'), Mohamed (71'), Sissoko (88')
Fadiga (18')
Lees-Melou (33')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
gameweek 31
Brest
1-1
Nantes
Chardonnet (67')
Herelle (64')
Kolo (10')
Chirivella (43'), Castelletto (70'), Da Silva (90+4')
Jan 28, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Nantes
2-0
Brest
Blas (25', 53')

Brassier (33'), Herelle (51'), Chardonnet (72')
Sep 22, 2021 6pm
gameweek 7
Nantes
3-1
Brest
Blas (27'), Chirivella (55'), Brassier (58' og.)
Castelletto (31')
Le Douaron (67')
Chardonnet (52'), Brassier (85')
May 2, 2021 2pm
gameweek 35
Brest
1-4
Nantes
Simon (15'), Blas (27'), Louza (56'), Coulibaly (62' pen.), Faivre (83')
Larsonneur (61'), Charbonnier (89')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8NantesNantes145361823-518
9Marseille134541514117
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon131481124-137

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