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Ligue 1

Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Troyes

Nantes
2 - 2
Troyes

Pallois (25'), Guessand (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Balde (64' pen.), Odobert (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Troyes
Sunday, April 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawTroyes
52.74% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.21% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)23.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 52.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75% (0.028999999999996 0.03)49.25% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (0.026 0.03)71.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (0.013000000000005 0.01)18.63% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.07% (0.024000000000001 0.02)49.93% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)35.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (0.016999999999999 0.02)72.69% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 52.74%
    Troyes 23.04%
    Draw 24.21%
NantesDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.74%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.21%
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 23.04%

How you voted: Nantes vs Troyes

Nantes
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Troyes
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 2pm
gameweek 16
Troyes
0-0
Nantes

Castelletto (15')
Mar 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 28
Troyes
1-0
Nantes
Ugbo (43')
Conte (47')

Simon (63')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
gameweek 9
Nantes
2-0
Troyes
Girotto (58'), Blas (69' pen.)
Castelletto (45+1'), Chirivella (90+1')

Rodrigues (66'), Chadli (83')
Mar 10, 2018 7pm
Nantes
1-0
Troyes
Sala (86')

Walter (7')
Aug 19, 2017 7pm
Troyes
0-1
Nantes

Darbion (79')
Sala (81')
Awaziem (34')
rhs 2.0


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