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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Troyes

Nantes
2 - 2
Troyes

Pallois (25'), Guessand (90+6')
Centonze (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Balde (64' pen.), Odobert (90+2')
Agoume (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Troyes
Sunday, April 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-0 Troyes

Nantes are in awful league form and have a huge distraction on their minds with the cup final to come, but are arguably facing the perfect opponents right now. Troyes have drawn a blank in six of their last seven Ligue 1 fixtures against Nantes, and with senior players seemingly giving up the ghost, ESTAC's fate seems settled. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawTroyes
52.74% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 24.21% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 23.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 52.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75% (0.028999999999996 0.03)49.25% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (0.026 0.03)71.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (0.013000000000005 0.01)18.63% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.07% (0.024000000000001 0.02)49.93% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)35.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (0.016999999999999 0.02)72.69% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 52.74%
    Troyes 23.04%
    Draw 24.21%
NantesDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.74%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.21%
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 23.04%

How you voted: Nantes vs Troyes

Nantes
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Troyes
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 2pm
Mar 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 28
Troyes
1-0
Nantes
Ugbo (43')
Conte (47')

Simon (63')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
gameweek 9
Nantes
2-0
Troyes
Girotto (58'), Blas (69' pen.)
Castelletto (45+1'), Chirivella (90+1')

Rodrigues (66'), Chadli (83')
Mar 10, 2018 7pm
Aug 19, 2017 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Toulouse156361717021
9Auxerre146262121020
10Reims145452018219
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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