Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Clermont |
| 34.19% ( | 27.35% ( | 38.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.09% ( | 55.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% ( | 77.01% ( |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( | 30.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( | 67.13% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( | 28.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( | 63.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.45% |