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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
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Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Nantes
Auxerre
2 - 1
Nantes
Jubal (5' pen.), da Costa (43')
Zedadka (33'), Toure (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mohamed (55')
Victor (36'), Kombouare (76'), Pallois (89')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 Auxerre
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 9 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Auxerre 1-1 Nantes

A Nantes side who seldom travel well in Ligue 1 should experience an uncomfortable afternoon against a steadfast Auxerre defence, especially with so much still to play for, for both outfits. If last weekend is anything to go by, set-pieces could be Nantes' golden ticket and Achilles heel at the Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps, where a closely-contested stalemate could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawNantes
41.47% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 26.99% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 31.55% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)55.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.71% (-0.012 -0.01)76.29% (0.012 0.01)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)26.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)61.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.19% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (0.010000000000002 0.01)68.67% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 41.47%
    Nantes 31.55%
    Draw 26.98%
AuxerreDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 41.47%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.55%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Nantes

Auxerre
26.9%
Draw
50.0%
Nantes
23.1%
26
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 2pm
Dec 17, 2013 7.55pm
Fourth Round
Nantes
1-0
Auxerre
Aristeguieta (75')
Deaux (81')
rhs 2.0
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Jags
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8NantesNantes145361823-518
9Marseille134541514117
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon131481124-137

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