Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jubal 5' goal
  • Nuno da Costa 43' goal
  • goal Mostafa Mohamed 55'

Auxerre vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 2.00pm
Ajaccio 0 - 3 Auxerre
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
M'Baye Niang

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 4.05pm
Nantes 2 - 2 Monaco
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Mostafa Mohamed

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result

Auxerre 41.47% (-0.03)
Draw 26.99% (+0.01)
Nantes 31.55% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.08% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.97% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 55.03% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 23.71% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 76.29% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 10.55% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.45% (+0.01)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5 73.85% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 26.15% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 38.77% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 61.23% (+0.04)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 67.81% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.19% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.33% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.67% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Auxerre 41.47%
Draw 26.98%
Nantes 31.55%
Auxerre
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 41.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.42% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.98%
Nantes
0-1 @ 9.54% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.55%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcus Coco 74' goal
Coupe de la Ligue
Dec 17, 2013 7.55pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fernando Aristeguieta 75' goal
  • Lucas Deaux 81' yellowcard