Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31

Apr 16, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Auxerre
2 - 1
Nantes

Jubal (5' pen.), da Costa (43')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mohamed (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 Auxerre
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 9 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Nantes
41.47% ( -0.03)	26.99% ( 0.01)	31.55% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.08% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.97% (

-0.02)

55.03% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.71% (

-0.01)

76.29% (

0.01)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85% (

-0.02)

26.15% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77% (

-0.03)

61.23% (

0.03)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.81% (

0.01)

32.19% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.33% (

0.01)

68.67% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 41.47%

Nantes 31.55%

Draw 26.98%

Auxerre	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.47%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.55%