Ligue 1 Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 69' goal

Brest vs Auxerre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2023 2.00pm
Lorient 2 - 1 Brest
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jeremy Le Douaron

Auxerre

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2023 2.00pm
Auxerre 1 - 1 Clermont
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
M'Baye Niang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match.

Result

Brest 45.07% (-0.26)
Draw 25.76% (+0.02)
Auxerre 29.17% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.72% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.9% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 51.1% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 27.05% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 72.95% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.68% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.32% (-0.04)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 77.38% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 22.62% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 43.75% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 56.25% (+0.15)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5 68.13% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 31.87% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 31.69% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 68.31% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Brest 45.06%
Draw 25.76%
Auxerre 29.17%
Brest
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 45.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 25.76%
Auxerre
0-1 @ 8.24% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.01% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.71% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.67% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29.17%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • M'Baye Niang 86' goal
  • goal Islam Slimani 64'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)
  • Mickael Tacalfred 12' goal
  • Jean-Charles Castelletto 36' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Charbonnier 66' yellowcard
Ligue 2
Feb 7, 2019 12.00am
Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)
Ligue 2 Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2018 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps (Auxerre)
  • Carlens Arcus 27' yellowcard
  • Romain Philippoteaux 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Autret 29'
  • yellowcard Brendan Chardonnet 45'
  • goal Anthony Weber 60'
  • goal Gaetan Charbonnier 61'
  • yellowcard Gaetan Charbonnier 85'
Ligue 2
Mar 9, 2018 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps (Auxerre)
  • Jordan Adeoti 57' goal
  • Birama Toure 61' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Yves Polomat 87' yellowcard
  • goal Julien Faussurier 45'
  • yellowcard Gaetan Belaud 55'
  • goal Habib Diallo 68'
Ligue 2
Oct 13, 2017 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)
  • Jason Berthomier 7' goal
  • goal Mohamed Yattara 18'
  • yellowcard Ludovic Obraniak 44'