Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.