Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Lassine Sinayoko 51' goal
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 6'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 8'

Auxerre vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2023 2.00pm
Brest 1 - 0 Auxerre
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
M'Baye Niang

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 8.00pm
PSG 5 - 0 Ajaccio
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Auxerre 15.17% (-0.07)
Draw 19.77% (-0.07)
Paris Saint-Germain 65.05% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.65% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.35% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 41.64% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 35.95% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 64.04% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 18.98% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 81.01% (-0.13)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5 59.85% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 40.14% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.22% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 76.77% (-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 87.96% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 12.03% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 62.48% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 37.52% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Auxerre 15.17%
Draw 19.77%
Paris Saint-Germain 65.04%
Auxerre
1-0 @ 4.41% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 4.26% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 15.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 19.77%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-2 @ 10.82% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.64% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.98% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 4.05% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 3.69% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.18% (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 65.04%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 12.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kylian Mbappe 11' goal
  • Carlos Soler 51' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 57' goal
  • Renato Sanches 81' goal
  • Hugo Ekitike 84' goal
Coupe de France
May 30, 2015 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de France
  • Karim Djellabi 28' yellowcard
  • Cheick Diarra 76' yellowcard
  • Jamel Ait Ben Idir 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 51'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 60'
  • goal Edinson Cavani 65'
Ligue 1
Apr 14, 2012 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1
Dec 4, 2011 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT