Ligue 1 Gameweek 35
May 13, 2023 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Fabian Ruiz 22' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 33' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 47' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 54' goal
  • Mohamed Youssouf 73' goal

Paris Saint-Germain vs Ajaccio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2023 7.45pm
Troyes 1 - 3 PSG
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2023 2.00pm
Ajaccio 0 - 0 Toulouse
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Mounaim El Idrissy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.06%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 5.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 4-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.91%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-2 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 84.06% (+0.72)
Draw 10.56% (-0.43)
Ajaccio 5.39% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.02% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.85% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 27.15% (-0.90)
Over 3.5 52.32% (+1.13)
Under 3.5 47.68% (-1.13)
Over 4.5 32.9% (+1.06)
Under 4.5 67.1% (-1.06)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 95.42% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 4.58% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 81.31% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 18.69% (-0.85)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5 50.32% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 49.68% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 15.57% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 84.43% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 84.05%
Draw 10.56%
Ajaccio 5.39%
Paris Saint-Germain
3-0 @ 11.11% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 10.81% (-0.17)
4-0 @ 8.57% (+0.20)
3-1 @ 7.78% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.17)
1-0 @ 7.01% (-0.26)
4-1 @ 6% (+0.10)
5-0 @ 5.29% (+0.22)
5-1 @ 3.7% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.03)
6-0 @ 2.72% (+0.17)
4-2 @ 2.1% (+0.03)
6-1 @ 1.9% (+0.11)
5-2 @ 1.29% (+0.04)
7-0 @ 1.2% (+0.10)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 84.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.91% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 2.65% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 2.27% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 10.56%
Ajaccio
1-2 @ 1.72% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 1.59% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 5.39%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 24'
  • goal Lionel Messi 78'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 82'
Coupe de la Ligue
Dec 17, 2014 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Johan Cavalli 27' goal
  • Claude Goncalves 38' yellowcard
  • Mouaad Madri 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Clement Chantome 45'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Lavezzi 53'
  • goal Edinson Cavani 55'
  • goal Serge Aurier 80'
  • goal Jean-Christophe Bahebeck 84'
Ligue 1
Jan 11, 2014 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Eduardo Dos Santos 6' goal
  • Ricardo Faty 17' yellowcard
  • Claude Dielna 34' yellowcard
  • goal Ezequiel Lavezzi 41'
  • yellowcard Gregory van der Wiel 45'
  • yellowcard Zlatan Ibrahimovic 68'
  • goal Blaise Matuidi 74'
Ligue 1
Aug 18, 2013 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alex 69' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 87' goal
  • Ezequiel Lavezzi 90' yellowcard
  • goal Benoit Pedretti 10'
  • yellowcard Ronald Zubar 69'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Ochoa 73'
  • yellowcard Paul-Bastien Lasne 90'
Ligue 1
Jan 11, 2013 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Thiago Motta 45' redcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Frederic Sammaritano 41'
  • yellowcard Andy Delorte 73'
Ligue 1
Aug 19, 2012 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fousseni Diawara 18' yellowcard
  • Yoann Poulard 38' yellowcard
  • Johan Cavalli 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javier Pastore 19'
  • yellowcard Clément Chantome 55'
  • redcard Ezequiel Lavezzi 59'

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