Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.06%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 5.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 4-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.91%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-2 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 84.06% ( | 10.56% ( | 5.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.85% ( | 27.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.32% ( | 47.68% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.42% ( | 4.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.31% ( | 18.69% ( |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.32% ( | 49.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.57% ( | 84.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 3-0 @ 11.11% ( 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 4-0 @ 8.57% ( 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 4-1 @ 6% ( 5-0 @ 5.29% ( 5-1 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 6-0 @ 2.72% ( 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 6-1 @ 1.9% ( 5-2 @ 1.29% ( 7-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 4.29% Total : 84.05% | 1-1 @ 4.91% ( 2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0-0 @ 2.27% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 10.56% | 1-2 @ 1.72% ( 0-1 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 5.39% |