Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Toulouse |
| 24.84% ( | 25.62% ( | 49.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.72% ( | 53.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% ( | 74.83% ( |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% ( | 36.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% ( | 73.31% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( | 21.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.41% ( | 54.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 2-1 @ 6.13% ( 2-0 @ 3.99% ( 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 3-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 12.07% ( 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-2 @ 9.27% ( 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0-3 @ 4.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.54% |