Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Apr 29, 2023 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Andre Gomes 22' goal
  • Andre Gomes 33' goal
  • Remy Cabella 37' goal

Lille vs Ajaccio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 4.00pm
Auxerre 1 - 1 Lille
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Jonathan David

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2023 2.00pm
Ajaccio 0 - 0 Brest
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Mounaim El Idrissy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 79.41%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.98%) and 1-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result

Lille 79.41% (-0.04)
Draw 14.03% (+0.04)
Ajaccio 6.56% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.45% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.65% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 40.35% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 37.27% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 62.73% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 19.99% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 80.01% (+0.14)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 91.86% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 8.14% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 71.45% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 28.55% (+0.12)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5 44.04% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 55.96% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 11.55% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 88.45% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Lille 79.41%
Draw 14.03%
Ajaccio 6.56%
Lille
2-0 @ 14.33% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 11.98% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 11.42% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.52% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.36% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 3.77% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 79.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.63% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.55% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 14.03%
Ajaccio
0-1 @ 2.64% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 6.56%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Thomas Mangani 71' yellowcard
  • Oumar Gonzalez 73' yellowcard
  • Cyrille Bayala 84' goal
  • Cyrille Bayala 86' yellowcard
  • goal Yusuf Yazici 17'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 43'
  • yellowcard Bafode Diakite 51'
  • yellowcard Edon Zhegrova 57'
  • goal Tiago Djalo 67'
Ligue 1
Mar 2, 2014 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Junior Tallo 1' goal
  • Johan Cavalli 24' yellowcard
  • Junior Tallo 42' goal
  • Junior Tallo 72' yellowcard
  • Cedric Hengbart 74' yellowcard
  • goal Salomon Kalou 25'
  • goal Salomon Kalou 38'
  • yellowcard Idrissa Gana Gueye 45'
  • yellowcard Divock Origi 67'
  • goal Salomon Kalou 74'
  • redcard Adama Soumaoro 81'
Ligue 1
Oct 5, 2013 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pape Souare 17' goal
  • Idrissa Gana Gueye 58' goal
  • Salomon Kalou 71' goal
  • Idrissa Gana Gueye 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aboubacar Demba Camara 49'
Ligue 1
Feb 23, 2013 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Chahir Belghazouani 76' goal
  • goal Yoann Poulard 38' (OG)
  • yellowcard Florent Balmont 39'
  • redcard Lucas Digne 61'
  • goal Dimitri Payet 67'
  • goal Dimitri Payet 74'
Ligue 1
Oct 6, 2012 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nolan Roux 42' goal
  • Ryan Mendes 56' goal
  • Tulio De Melo 59' yellowcard
  • Florent Balmont 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrian Mutu 3'
Ligue 1
Apr 14, 2012 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT