Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
1 - 3
PSG

Chavalerin (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mbappe (8'), Vitinha (59'), Ruiz (86')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 0-1 Nice
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 1-3 Lorient
Sunday, April 30 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 2-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
9.8% ( -0.03)	14.43% ( -0.12)	75.77% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.37% (

0.56)

29.63% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.25% (

0.67)

50.75% (

-0.66)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.45% (

0.35)

40.55% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.85% (

0.32)

77.15% (

-0.31)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.51% (

0.16)

6.5% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.75% (

0.41)

24.26% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Troyes 9.8%

Paris Saint-Germain 75.77%

Draw 14.43%

Troyes	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.8%	1-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.43%	0-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 8.97% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 8.1% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 5.54% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 3.03% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 0-6 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.3% Total : 75.77%