Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 2-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
9.8% (![]() | 14.43% (![]() | 75.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.37% (![]() | 29.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.25% (![]() | 50.75% (![]() |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.45% (![]() | 40.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.85% (![]() | 77.15% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.51% (![]() | 6.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.75% (![]() | 24.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 2.93% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.8% | 1-1 @ 6.5% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.43% | 0-2 @ 9.85% (![]() 0-3 @ 8.97% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 8.1% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 4.3% Total : 75.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 33 |
2 | Nice | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Brest | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
8 | NantesNantes | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
9 | Marseille | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Metz | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Toulouse | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |