Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Troyes0 - 1Nice
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Troyes
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Troyes 2-3 Nice
Nice have struggled in recent weeks, but Troyes cannot seem to buy a win at the moment and they have been poor all season, meaning the visitors are likely to emerge with a narrow victory. Despite their position in the Ligue 1 table, Troyes have been decent in front of goal, while Nice are without a clean sheet in their last nine games, so it could be a high-scoring affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Nice |
22.65% ( 0.04) | 24.46% ( 0.03) | 52.9% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
