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Ligue 1

Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Nice

Troyes
0 - 1
Nice

FT(HT: 0-1)
Boudaoui (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Troyes
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Clermont
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
TroyesDrawNice
22.65% (0.042999999999999 0.04)24.46% (0.027999999999999 0.03)52.9% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.36% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)50.64% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)72.54% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.94% (0.0049999999999955 0)37.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (0.004999999999999 0)73.84% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)19.1% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)50.71% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 22.65%
    Nice 52.89%
    Draw 24.46%
TroyesDrawNice
1-0 @ 7.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.49% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 22.65%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.46%
0-1 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 52.89%

How you voted: Troyes vs Nice

Troyes
13.3%
Draw
33.3%
Nice
53.3%
15
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
gameweek 10
Nice
3-2
Troyes
Viti (2'), Delort (37' pen.), Pepe (50')
Bryan (56')
Chavalerin (82'), Conte (90')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
gameweek 34
Nice
1-0
Troyes
Thuram (90+3')
Lotomba (90+4')

Tardieu (90+4')
Oct 17, 2021 12pm
gameweek 10
Troyes
1-0
Nice
Balde (4')
Kouame (36'), Batlles (37'), Biancone (73')

Claude-Maurice (80')
Apr 1, 2018 4pm
Troyes
0-2
Nice

Deplagne (29')
Plea (16', 83')
Aug 11, 2017 6pm
Nice
1-2
Troyes
Plea (63' pen.)
Koziello (64'), Dante (90')
Niane (54'), Khaoui (85')
Vizcarrondo (62'), Samassa (62'), Herelle (77')