UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
1 - 2
Basel

(Basel win 4-3 on aggregate)

Laborde (9')

FT
(aet)

Augustin (86'), Nuhu (98')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Nice and Basel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Brest 1-0 Nice
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Basel

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Basel 1-1 Young Boys
Sunday, April 16 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Basel had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%).

Result
Nice	Draw	Basel
52.44% ( 0.08)	23.11% ( -0.02)	24.46% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 57.4% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.92% (

0.05)

43.08% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.52% (

0.05)

65.48% (

-0.04)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

0.05)

16.45% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.86% (

0.08)

46.14% (

-0.08)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.7% (

-0.02)

31.3% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.34% (

-0.03)

67.66% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Nice 52.44%

Basel 24.46%

Draw 23.1%

Nice	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.44%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.1%	1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 24.46%