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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
AC Ajaccio
Lens
3 - 0
Ajaccio
Machado (16'), Thomasson (22'), Openda (35' pen.)
Openda (57')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Strata (13'), Gonzalez (34')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-3 Lens
Sunday, May 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-5 Rennes
Sunday, May 21 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 4-0 Ajaccio

With suspensions and injuries decimating their squad, Ajaccio need nothing short of a miracle to leave the Stade Bollaert-Delelis with anything to show for their efforts, and Haise's side will not be in any sort of merciful mood. While we have faith in Pantaloni's men to avoid a third successive 5-0 defeat, a Lens side who often score for fun on their own turf should confirm a second-placed finish in style, with a few goals along the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.17%) and 1-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawAjaccio
79.39% (0.012 0.01) 14.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 6.42% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Both teams to score 39.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27% (0.007000000000005 0.01)41.73% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)64.13% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)8.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.7% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)57.3% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)89.21% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 79.38%
    Ajaccio 6.42%
    Draw 14.19%
LensDrawAjaccio
2-0 @ 14.78%
3-0 @ 12.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.78%
4-1 @ 4.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 3.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 79.38%
1-1 @ 6.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 14.19%
0-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 6.42%

How you voted: Lens vs Ajaccio

Lens
90.5%
Draw
0.0%
Ajaccio
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 2pm
gameweek 2
Ajaccio
0-0
Lens

Gonzalez (35'), Mangani (37'), Bayala (42'), Marchetti (59'), El Idrissy (79')

Sotoca (75'), Danso (90+2')
May 1, 2020 7pm
gameweek 36
Lens
P-P
Ajaccio
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
gameweek 18
Ajaccio
1-2
Lens
Laci (12')
Coutadeur (21'), Avinel (84')
Sotoca (57', 71')
Gillet (27')
May 10, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Ajaccio
0-2
Lens

Coutadeur (67'), Hergault (70'), Boe-Kane (90')
Teka (10'), Bellegarde (76')
Mendy (17'), Mesloub (41')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8NantesNantes145361823-518
9Marseille134541514117
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon131481124-137

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