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Ligue 1

Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
AC Ajaccio

Lens
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Machado (16'), Thomasson (22'), Openda (35' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 1-3 Lens
Sunday, May 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-5 Rennes
Sunday, May 21 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.17%) and 1-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawAjaccio
79.39% (0.012 0.01)14.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)6.42% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Both teams to score 39.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27% (0.007000000000005 0.01)41.73% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)64.13% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)8.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.7% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)57.3% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)89.21% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 79.38%
    Ajaccio 6.42%
    Draw 14.19%
LensDrawAjaccio
2-0 @ 14.78%
3-0 @ 12.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.78%
4-1 @ 4.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 3.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 79.38%
1-1 @ 6.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 14.19%
0-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 6.42%

How you voted: Lens vs Ajaccio

Lens
90.5%
Draw
0.0%
Ajaccio
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 2pm
gameweek 2
Ajaccio
0-0
Lens

Gonzalez (35'), Mangani (37'), Bayala (42'), Marchetti (59'), El Idrissy (79')

Sotoca (75'), Danso (90+2')
May 1, 2020 7pm
gameweek 36
Lens
P-P
Ajaccio
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
gameweek 18
Ajaccio
1-2
Lens
Laci (12')
Coutadeur (21'), Avinel (84')
Sotoca (57', 71')
Gillet (27')
May 10, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Ajaccio
0-2
Lens

Coutadeur (67'), Hergault (70'), Boe-Kane (90')
Teka (10'), Bellegarde (76')
Mendy (17'), Mesloub (41')
May 9, 2019
1am
Ajaccio  
vs.
  Lens