Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Rennes |
23.31% ( -0.03) | 25.94% ( -0) | 50.75% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.37% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.29% ( -0.01) | 55.7% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.15% ( -0.01) | 76.85% ( 0.01) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.73% ( -0.04) | 39.27% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.02% ( -0.03) | 75.97% ( 0.03) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% ( 0.01) | 22% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.68% ( 0.02) | 55.32% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.31% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 50.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Toulouse | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |