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Ligue 1

AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Rennes

Ajaccio
0 - 5
Rennes

FT(HT: 0-4)
Santamaria (14'), Gouiri (31', 40', 71'), Doku (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Rennes

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 4-0 Troyes
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawRennes
23.31% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)25.94% (-0.004999999999999 -0)50.75% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.29% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)55.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.15% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)76.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)39.27% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)22% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (0.015999999999998 0.02)55.32% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 23.31%
    Rennes 50.75%
    Draw 25.93%
AjaccioDrawRennes
1-0 @ 8.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.31%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 13.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 50.75%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Rennes

Ajaccio
26.7%
Draw
0.0%
Rennes
73.3%
15
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 4.05pm
gameweek 3
Rennes
2-1
Ajaccio
Terrier (18'), Theate (62')
Bade (45+1'), Genesio (57'), Salin (81'), Salin (81'), Santamaria (82'), Doue (86')
Ugochukwu (90+1')
El Idrissy (57')
El Idrissy (45+4'), Mayembo (79')
Feb 8, 2014 7pm
Ajaccio
3-1
Rennes
Faty (18'), Andre (37'), Cavalli (77')
Diarra (52')
Doucoure (33')
Doucoure (7')
> Match Report
Sep 21, 2013 7pm
Rennes
2-0
Ajaccio
Kadir (14', 16')
Oliveria (26'), Pajot (47')

Lasne (77'), Goncalves (88')
> Match Report
May 18, 2013 8pm
Rennes
1-1
Ajaccio
Erding (45')
Erding (87')
Diawara (5')
Mostefa (32'), Zubar (81'), Andre (84'), Belghazouani (90')
> Match Report
Dec 22, 2012 7pm
Ajaccio
2-4
Rennes
Diawara (41'), Mutu (2')
Mostefa (45'), Cavalli (53')
Féret (17' pen., 72'), Mady Diarra (60'), Alessandrini (44')
Alessandrini (9')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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