Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 8.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Troyes |
76.61% (![]() | 14.89% (![]() | 8.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.24% (![]() | 36.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.07% (![]() | 58.93% (![]() |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.07% (![]() | 7.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.97% (![]() | 28.03% (![]() |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.58% (![]() | 48.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.46% (![]() | 83.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Troyes |
2-0 @ 12.33% (![]() 3-0 @ 10.41% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.73% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.95% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.55% Total : 76.6% | 1-1 @ 7.06% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.24% ( ![]() Other @ 0.75% Total : 14.89% | 0-1 @ 2.79% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 8.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 33 |
2 | Nice | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Brest | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
8 | NantesNantes | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
9 | Marseille | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Metz | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Toulouse | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |