Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35

May 14, 2023 at 2pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
4 - 0
Troyes

Theate (14'), Bourigeaud (65'), Toko Ekambi (70', 74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Troyes suffer relegation from Ligue 1 courtesy of a 4-0 defeat at the hands of Rennes, who move up to fifth in the table.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, May 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 1-3 PSG
Sunday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 8.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Troyes
76.61% ( -0.09)	14.89% ( 0.1)	8.5% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.49% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.24% (

-0.56)

36.76% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.07% (

-0.61)

58.93% (

0.61)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.07% (

-0.15)

7.93% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.97% (

-0.38)

28.03% (

0.38)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.58% (

-0.41)

48.42% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.46% (

-0.3)

83.54% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Rennes 76.6%

Troyes 8.5%

Draw 14.89%

Rennes	Draw	Troyes
2-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.55% Total : 76.6%	1-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 14.89%	0-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 8.5%