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Ligue 1

Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium Municipal
AJ Auxerre

Toulouse
1 - 1
Auxerre

Aboukhlal (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raveloson (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 1-2 PSG
Sunday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawAuxerre
50.29% (-0.239 -0.24)24.58% (-0.026 -0.03)25.13% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 53.27% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.33000000000001 0.33)48.86% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.297 0.3)70.96% (-0.297 -0.3)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)19.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (0.051000000000002 0.05)51.29% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (0.40299999999999 0.4)33.86% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (0.433 0.43)70.53% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 50.29%
    Auxerre 25.13%
    Draw 24.57%
ToulouseDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.13%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Auxerre

Toulouse
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Auxerre
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
gameweek 18
Auxerre
0-5
Toulouse

Niang (43'), Mensah (55'), Jubal (88')
Chaibi (4'), Rouault (33'), Van den Boomen (41' pen.), Aboukhlal (75'), Dallinga (88')
Sylla (44')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
gameweek 30
Auxerre
1-2
Toulouse
Dugimont (71')
Pellenard (42')
Charbonnier (38')
Van den Boomen (33' pen., 41')
Spierings (9')
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
gameweek 12
Toulouse
6-0
Auxerre
Healey (4', 72'), Ratao (7', 46'), Mvoue (24'), Nicolaisen (84')
Genreau (44')

Dugimont (49')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
gameweek 23
Auxerre
3-1
Toulouse
Dugimont (4', 77'), N'Gando (42')
Bernard (90+2')
Healey (90+3' pen.)
Healey (80'), Machado (88')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
gameweek 5
Toulouse
3-1
Auxerre
Van den Boomen (69' pen.), Moreira (86'), Healey (90+3')
van den Boomen (43'), Moreira (90+2')
Le Bihan (58')
Sakhi (34')
rhs 2.0


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