AJ Auxerre
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Toulouse

Auxerre
1 - 2
Toulouse

Dugimont (71')
Pellenard (42')
FT(HT: 0-2)
van den Boomen (33' pen., 41')
Spierings (9')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Auxerre and Toulouse.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

Last Six:
Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

Toulouse

Last Six:
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Toulouse
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawToulouse
34.12%25.22%40.66%
Both teams to score 56.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99%47.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75%69.25%
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46%26.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26%61.74%
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03%22.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24%56.76%
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 34.12%
    Toulouse 40.66%
    Draw 25.21%
AuxerreDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 8.09%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.12%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.97%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 6.59%
1-3 @ 4.29%
0-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.66%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
Toulouse
6-0
Auxerre
Healey (4', 72'), Ratao (7', 46'), Mvoue (24'), Nicolaisen (84')
Genreau (44')

Dugimont (49')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Auxerre
3-1
Toulouse
Dugimont (4', 77'), N'Gando (42')
Bernard (90+2')
Healey (90+3' pen.)
Healey (80'), Machado (88')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
Toulouse
3-1
Auxerre
Van den Boomen (69' pen.), Moreira (86'), Healey (90+3')
van den Boomen (43'), Moreira (90+2')
Le Bihan (58')
Sakhi (34')
Oct 28, 2015 8pm
Toulouse
3-3
Auxerre
 Toulouse win 2-1 on penalties
Ben Yedder (73', 88'), Bodiger (114')
Ninkov (80'), Matheus (88')
Kilic (33'), Sefil (82'), Courtet (103')
Seck (42'), Konate (69')
Konate (83')
Mar 25, 2012 4pm
Toulouse
1-0
Auxerre