AJ Auxerre
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2021 at 7pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Toulouse

Auxerre
3 - 1
Toulouse

Dugimont (4', 77'), N'Gando (42')
Bernard (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Healey (90+3' pen.)
Healey (80'), Machado (88')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Auxerre and Toulouse.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawToulouse
41.88%25.86%32.25%
Both teams to score 53.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73%50.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78%72.22%
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2%23.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.04%57.96%
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7%29.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73%65.27%
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 41.88%
    Toulouse 32.26%
    Draw 25.85%
AuxerreDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.56%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.26%